McCain Pulls Out of Michigan.

From Politico:

John McCain is pulling out of Michigan, according to two Republicans, a stunning move a month away from Election Day that indicates the difficulty Republicans are having in finding blue states to put in play.

McCain will go off TV in Michigan, stop dropping mail there and send most of his staff to more competitive states, including Wisconsin, Ohio and Florida.   Wisconsin went for Kerry in 2004, Ohio and Florida for Bush.

McCain’s campaign didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Republicans had been bullish on Michigan, hopeful that McCain’s past success in the state in the 2000 primary combined with voter dissatisfaction with Democratic Gov. Jennifer Granholm and skepticism among blue-collar voters about Barack Obama could make it competitive.

This is kind of a shock. But once McCain decided to make this election about base turnout, he was necessarily gonna have to cede his wobbly standing as some kind of unifying centrist.

But wow, what a difference a few weeks makes. We don’t want to get ahead of ourselves, but this went from frustratingly close to looking like it could be a possible blowout. Obama is pulling away in Pennsylvania and is seriously reaching into McCain’s pocket in states that never go blue — namely, Virginia  and Colorado (to say nothing of North Carolina.) And McCain still has to defend Ohio; Nate at FiveThirtyEight* gives him a 2 percent chance of winning the election if he drops the Buckeye State.

Update: The AJC is reporting that almost 40 percent of the early Georgia voting iis from black voters. It might be too late in the game to really put Georgia in play, but not too late to force McCain to play defense there.

*Nate at FiveThirtyEight is beefing with RealClearPolitics. He accused them of cherry-picking their polls to be as favorable to McCain as possible. 

3 thoughts on “McCain Pulls Out of Michigan.

  1. slb October 2, 2008 at 4:21 pm Reply

    This is THRILLING news! I knew somethin’ was up when even super racist, super conservative Grand Rapids started busting out the Obama lawn signs in record numbers (McCain signs have been few and far between.) Plus Obama has been dogged in his courtship of Michigan since the primaries. He was just here this morning….

  2. LH October 2, 2008 at 4:54 pm Reply

    Michigan has taken it on the chin by way of the economic downturn, so while this did kinda catch me off guard, when I think about it, McCain’s decision isn’t such a shocker.

    What do you think the chances are that Obama will win in Ohio?

  3. Polling Fisticuffs. « PostBourgie October 3, 2008 at 12:47 pm Reply

    […] Pleeeeeeease tell me G.D. and I aren’t the only ones following the polling beef between RealClearPolitics and […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: